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Retirement Timing

Timing is not everything, it's the only thing!

When to Retire

Previous pages of this Retirement Planning Section presented information on Setting Retirement Goals, Establishing a Retirement Budget, Saving for Retirement, and utilizing a Pre-Retirement Checklist. Armed with retirement goals, knowledge of your Net Worth (from the Retirement Savings page), a retirement expense budget, and a pre-retirement checklist, you are now in a position to calculate when you’ll be able to retire and/or how much financial flexibility you’ll have in retirement.

Before creating a tentative Retirement Financial Plan and seeing if it works, you'll need to consider a major factor in the plan -- how long you’ll let your Social Security benefits grow until you elect to start receiving them.  The longer you wait, the higher your monthly benefits.  Many people elect to start receiving Social Security benefits at their full retirement age, but others start receiving benefits at age 62 (early retirement age) and pay the price of reduced income.

The following table illustrates Social Security benefit reductions at age 62 based on your birth year:

Social Security Benefit Reduction

Year of
Birth
Full
(normal)
Retirement
Age
Months
Between
Age 62
& Full
Retirement
Age
At Age 62
a $1000
Retirement
Benefit
Would be
Reduced to
The
Retirement
Benefit is
Reduced By
1943-19546648$75025.00%
195566 and 2 months50$74125.83%
195666 and 4 months52$73326.67%
195766 and 6 months54$72527.50%
195866 and 8 months56$71628.33%
195966 and 10 months58$70829.17%
1960 and later6760$70030.00%
  • If you were born on January 1st, you should refer to the previous year.
  • If you were born on the 1st of the month, the benefit is figured as if your birthday was in the previous month.  You must be at least 62 for the entire month to receive benefits.
  • Percentages are approximate due to rounding.

Investment Nest Egg Rules of Thumb

A frequently asked question is "How much investment assets will I need to retire?" There is no simple answer to this question since the answer is determined by:

  • What percent of your pre-retirement salary will you need?
  • When do you plan to begin receiving social security benefits?
  • Do you have other income such as pensions, dividends, annuities, rental income, etc.?
  • How are your assets invested?
  • Are you retiring with debt, such as a mortgage, car loan, etc.?

The table below shows that if you need 80% of your salary in retirement, retire in 2024 with a full social security benefit ($45,864 in 2024), have no other income, have no debt, earn 4% on your investments and withdraw investment earnings to help fund your retirement, you will need investment assets of $53,400 to $1,853,400 depending on your pre-retirement salary. (This does not account for increasing retirement salary requirements due to inflation.)

Annual Salary 80% of Salary Social Security Additional Needed Required Investment Assets
$60,000 48,000 45,864 2,136 53,400
$70,000 56,000 45,864 10,136 253,400
$80,000 64,000 45,864 18,136 453,400
$90,000 72,000 45,864 26,136 653,400
$100,000 80,000 45,864 34,136 853,400
$110,000 88,000 45,864 42,136 1,053,400
$120,000 96,000 45,864 50,136 1,253,400
$130,000 104,000 45,864 58,136 1,453,400
$140,000 112,000 45,864 66,136 1,653,400
$150,000 120,000 45,864 74,136 1,853,400

The Investing Section will help you determine how much you'll need to invest while still working to build your retirement nest egg. It assumes 50% income requirement and 6% investment growth instead of the 4% assumed here.

Retirement Financial Plan

With your annual expense budget (calculated from the "Retirement Budget" section), you’re now in position to determine if/when you’ll have sufficient income to retire.  This is a matter of determining when your regular retirement income sources plus investment drawdowns will meet your retirement budget over your projected lifespan.  To perform this calculation, you’ll need to make several assumptions regarding your retirement age, investment portfolio contributions prior to retirement, income needed in your first year of retirement, average annual cost-of-living (COL) increases, and annual portfolio investment growth.  This exercise will tell you whether you will have sufficient income to meet your retirement expenses and whether will run out of money in retirement based upon your lifespan.

Let's assume that you are 57 years old in 2024 and considering retiring at age 62.  Following is a simple table (Retirement Financial Plan) that projects your ability to retire in 5 years based on these assumptions:

  • You are 57 years old in 2024,
  • You retire in December 2029 at age 62 (early retirement).
  • You have $500.000 in Retirement Assets and continue to save while working, investing an additional $10,000 this year and $3,000 each year until retirement.
  • Your annual expense budget is $85,000 in your first year of retirement and cost of living grows by 3% a year,
  • You start collecting Social Security ($2,000/mo.) and a company pension ($2,500/mo.) in January 2030,
  • Annual portfolio growth is 6%, and SS increases by 2% each year.

You will be building your assets prior to the start of retirement and drawing down your assets each year in retirement to meet income shortfall.  Your income (SS & Pension) plus Portfolio Drawdowns will be used to cover Expenses. When you reach the age of 73, your asset drawdown from any IRA investment funds will be influenced by Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) which are not reflected in this example. See "Investment Income".

Note that in the example below, portfolio growth exceeds investment drawdown in the first 11 years of retirement. Afterwards, starting at age 74, retirement assets reduce each year by an increasing greater amount. The good news in this example is that at age 90, the retiree will still have almost half of his/her retirement nest egg.

Retirement Assets Drawdown to cover Cost of Living

Taxable Income RequiredRetirement Income SourcesRetirement Assets
YearAgeExpenses
(3.0% inf.)
Social
Security
(2.0% inf.)
Pension
Income
Shortage
(Portfoio
Drawdown)
AssetsGrowth @
6.0%
Addit'l
Invest.
202457500,00030,00010,000
202558540,00032,40013,000
202659585,40035,12416,000
202760636,52438,19119,000
202861693,71541,62322,000
202962757,33845,44025,000
Retirement
20306385,000$24,000$30,00031,000827,77949,667
20316487,55024,48030,00033,070846,44550,787
20326590,17724,97030,00035,207864,16251,850
20336692,88225,46930,00037,413880,80552,848
20346795,66825,97830,00039,690896,24053,774
20356898,53826,49830,00042,040910,32554,619
203669101,49427,02830,00044,467922,90455,374
203770104,53927,56830,00046,971933,81256,029
203871107,67528,12030,00049,556942,87056,572
203972110,90628,68230,00052,223949,88656,993
204073114,23329,25630,00054,977954,65657,279
204174117,66029,84130,00057,819956,95857,417
204275121,19030,43830,00060,752956,55757,393
204376124,82531,04730,00063,779953,19857,192
204477128,57031,66730,00066,903946,61256,797
204578132,42732,30130,00070,126936,50656,190
204679136,40032,94730,00073,453922,57055,354
204780140,49233,60630,00076,886904,47054,268
204881144,70734,27830,00080,429881,85252,911
204982149,04834,96330,00084,085854,33551,260
205083153,51935,66330,00087,857821,51049,291
205184158,12536,37630,00091,749782,94446,977
205285162,86937,10430,00095,765738,17244,290
205386167,75537,84630,00099,909686,69741,202
205487172,78738,60230,000104,185627,98937,679
205688177,97139,37530,000108,597561,48433,689
205789183,31040,16230,000113,148486,57629,195
205890188,81040,96530,000117,844402,62224,157