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Retirement Timing

Timing is not everything, it's the only thing!

When to Retire

Previous pages of this Retirement Planning Section presented information on Setting Retirement Goals, Establishing a Retirement Budget, Saving for Retirement, and utilizing a Pre-Retirement Checklist. Armed with retirement goals, knowledge of your Net Worth (from the Retirement Savings page), a retirement expense budget, and a pre-retirement checklist, you are now in a position to calculate when you’ll be able to retire and/or how much financial flexibility you’ll have in retirement.

Before creating a tentative Retirement Financial Plan and seeing if it works, you'll need to consider a major factor in the plan -- how long you’ll let your Social Security benefits grow until you elect to start receiving them.  The longer you wait, the higher your monthly benefits.  Many people elect to start receiving Social Security benefits at their full retirement age, but others start receiving benefits at age 62 (early retirement age) and pay the price of reduced income.

The following table illustrates Social Security benefit reductions at age 62 based on your birth year:

Social Security Benefit Reduction

Year of
Birth
Full
(normal)
Retirement
Age
Months
Between
Age 62
& Full
Retirement
Age
At Age 62
a $1000
Retirement
Benefit
Would be
Reduced to
The
Retirement
Benefit is
Reduced By
1943-19546648$75025.00%
195566 and 2 months50$74125.83%
195666 and 4 months52$73326.67%
195766 and 6 months54$72527.50%
195866 and 8 months56$71628.33%
195966 and 10 months58$70829.17%
1960 and later6760$70030.00%
  • If you were born on January 1st, you should refer to the previous year.
  • If you were born on the 1st of the month, the benefit is figured as if your birthday was in the previous month.  You must be at least 62 for the entire month to receive benefits.
  • Percentages are approximate due to rounding.

Investment Nest Egg Rules of Thumb

A frequently asked question is "How much investment assets will I need to retire?" There is no simple answer to this question since the answer is determined by:

  • What percent of your pre-retirement salary will you need?
  • When do you plan to begin receiving social security benefits?
  • Do you have other income such as pensions, dividends, annuities, rental income, etc.?
  • How are your assets invested?
  • Are you retiring with debt, such as a mortgage, car loan, etc.?

The table below shows the additional income needed to obtain 80% of your pre-retirement salary if you retire in 2026 at full retirement age. It also shows the investment assets needed to generate this additional income. Annual Social Security benefits are calculated based on $50,602.80 received in 2026 for maximum contributors. Calculations assume no other income, no debt, you earn 4% on your investments, and you withdraw investment earnings to help fund your retirement. The table shows that you will need investment assets of $788,595 to $2,534,930 depending on your pre-retirement salary. (Note that social security benefits are approximate.)

Annual Salary 80% of Salary Social Security Additional Needed Required Investment Assets
$60,000 48,000 16,456 31,544 788,595
$70,000 56,000 19,199 36,801 920,028
$80,000 64,000 21,942 42,058 1,051,460
$90,000 72,000 24,684 47,316 1,182,893
$100,000 80,000 27,427 52,573 1,314,325
$110,000 88,000 30,170 57,830 1,445,758
$120,000 96,000 32,912 63,088 1,577,190
$130,000 104,000 35,655 68,345 1,708,623
$140,000 112,000 38.398 73,602 1,840,055
$150,000 120,000 41,140 78,860 1,971,488
$160,000 128,000 43,883 84,117 2,102,920
$170,000 136,000 46,626 89,374 2,234,353
$180,000 144,000 49,369 94,631 2,365,785
$190,000 152,000 50,603 101,397 2,534,930

The Investing Section will help you determine how much you'll need to invest while still working to build your retirement nest egg. It assumes 50% income requirement and 6% investment growth instead of the 4% assumed here.

Retirement Financial Plan

With your annual expense budget (calculated from the "Retirement Budget" section), you’re now in position to determine if/when you’ll have sufficient income to retire.  This is a matter of determining when your regular retirement income sources plus investment drawdowns will meet your retirement budget over your projected lifespan.  To perform this calculation, you’ll need to make several assumptions regarding your retirement age, investment portfolio contributions prior to retirement, income needed in your first year of retirement, average annual cost-of-living (COL) increases, and annual portfolio investment growth.  This exercise will tell you whether you will have sufficient income to meet your retirement expenses and whether will run out of money in retirement based upon your lifespan.

Following is a simple table (Retirement Financial Plan) that projects your ability to retire in 5 years based on these assumptions:

  • You are 57 years old in 2026, and you retire in December 2031 at age 62 (early retirement),
  • You have $500.000 in Retirement Assets and continue to save while working, investing an additional $10,000 this year and increasing your investment by $3,000 each year until retirement,
  • Your annual expense budget is $90,000 in your first year of retirement and cost of living grows by 3% a year,
  • The average Social Security Benefit in 2026 is $2,086, and the benefit grows at 2.0% per year to $2,349.17 in 2032,
  • You start collecting Social Security and a company pension ($2,500/mo.) in January 2032,
  • Annual portfolio growth is 6.0%, and Social Security increases by 2.0% each year.

You will be building your assets prior to the start of retirement and drawing down your assets each year in retirement to meet your income shortfall.  Your income (SS & Pension) plus Portfolio Drawdowns will be used to cover Expenses. When you reach the age of 73, your asset drawdown from any IRA investment funds will be influenced by Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) which are not reflected in this example. See "Investment Income".

Note that in the example below, portfolio growth exceeds investment drawdown in the first 9 years of retirement. Afterwards, starting at age 72, retirement assets reduce each year by an increasing greater amount. The good news in this example is that you will not run out of money until you reach the age of 90. As you approach this age, you need to start cutting back on spending.

Retirement Assets Drawdown to cover Cost of Living

Taxable Income RequiredRetirement Income SourcesRetirement Assets
YearAgeExpenses
(3.0% inf.)
Social
Security
(2.0% inf.)
Pension
Income
Shortage
(Portfoio
Drawdown)
AssetsGrowth @
6.0%
Addit'l
Invest.
202657500,00030,00010,000
202758540,00032,40013,000
202859585,40035,12416,000
202960636,52438,19119,000
203061693,71541,62322,000
203162757,33845,44025,000
Retirement
203263$90,000$28,190$30,000$31,810795,96947,758
20336492,70028,75430,00033,946809,78148,587
20346595,48129,32930,00036,152822,21649,333
20356698,34529,91630,00038,430833,11949,987
203667101,29630,51430,00040,782842,32450,539
203768104,33531,12430,00043,211849,65350,979
203869107,46531,74730,00045,718854,91451,295
203970110,68932,38230,00048,307857,90251,474
204071114,00933,02930,00050,980858,39651,504
204172117,43033,69030,00053,740856,16051,370
204273120,95234,36430,00056,589850,94051,056
204374124,58135,05130,00059,530842,46650,548
204475128,31835,75230,00062,567830,44849,827
204576132,16836,46730,00065,701814,57448,874
204677136,13337,19630,00068,937794,51147,671
204778140,21737,94030,00072,277769,90546,194
204879144,42438,69930,00075,725740,37544,422
204980148,75639,47330,00079,283705,51442,331
205081153,21940,26230,00082,957664,88839,893
205182157,81641,06830,00086,748618,03337,082
205283162,55041,88930,00090,661564,45433,867
205384167,42742,72730,00094,700503,62230,217
205485172,44943,58130,00098,868434,97126,098
205586177,62344,45330,000103,170357,90021,474
205687182,95145,34230,000107,609271,76416,306
205788188,44046,24930,000112,191175,87910,553
205889194,09347,17430,000116,91969,5124,171
205990199,91648,11730,000121,799-----0